What are you willing to give up?

Innovation doesn’t come for nothing.

Innovation requires that something is given up in return. There’s always some kind of trade-off; resources, a process, a job, a machine or even an identity has to be abandoned in order to make room for innovation. The old way of doing things has to be left behind, or at the very least, re-contextualized.

If someone were to innovate the English language too much – perhaps in order to make writing and reading more efficient, to create more consistent spellings and grammatical rules, or to improve certainty of comprehension – they might create a better or more effective communication tool, but many will likely have to do without the benefits of understanding writings that are the bedrock of a shared culture and language such as Shakespeare, Dickens, or Wharton. Any innovation has to be compelling enough to give up the benefits of the old, and any innovation that dismisses the importance of an existing system, no matter how flawed, is unlikely to succeed.

But that doesn’t mean that people are unwilling to trade for innovation. When a new approach is compelling enough or when the old approach is too cumbersome or difficult, people will even give up things they are passionately in love with. When compact discs and then MP3 files replaced vinyl records – those records and everything that was built up around it, such as record players, cover art and vinyl record cleaners was abandoned by millions of music lovers. It was difficult to believe that vinyl records could be abandoned in just a few years, as everyone had to buy new disc players, re-build their libraries, and build new furniture to house their collections. And yet, CD’s became the dominant form of music distribution in as little as ten years. MP3 players, once introduced to the masses by Apple’s iPod and iTunes, took less than a decade to sell over 100 Million players, and 2.5 billion songs. (“Apple: 100 million iPods sold, and counting” by Peter Cohen, Playlist Magazine 4.27.07) Effectively, most people gave up their vinyl records even though they loved them.

Three or four generations of music lovers had grown up with vinyl, how could they give it up so fast? It turns out that despite our love for vinyl, there were shortcomings. The music degraded too easily, dust and scratches made distracting sounds; the records took up too much room on the shelves and dancing in a room with a record player tended to jump the needle off the turntable. Everyone was willing to live with those problems until someone better made those minor irritations seem unreasonable. Now, the only vinyl records that remain are essentially a nostalgic collectors’ item, and record companies are fast losing revenues as fewer and fewer people are even buying CD’s.

In the 1880’s, most homes were lit by gas lights. Thomas Edison had invented the electric light, but most reasonable people thought it was an impractical idea. In order to light people’s homes with electricity, an entirely new infrastructure of power generation and distribution would have to be built. As long as the gas light didn’t set your house on fire or poison the occupants, it just wasn’t worth the trouble and the investment to change. Gas companies didn’t want to lose the lighting market, (though they eventually got into the business of generating electricity in addition to providing for heating and cooking).

But over the next quarter century, electric lighting was adopted. Despite objections that electric light was less attractive than gas lights, the danger, cost and dimness of gas lighting became difficult enough that everyone abandoned gas lights and embraced electricity.

It seems likely that we will give up gasoline powered automobiles in the near future. Once a majority of drivers embrace a new form of locomotion, such as electric cars, those gasoline powered engines, along with all the companies, products and practices that surround the use and maintenance of those engines will have to be abandoned and or changed. That is one of the main reasons it has been so difficult for electric cars to be successful commercially – not because the technology is especially difficult, electric cars have been around at least as long as their gasoline cousins, but because companies and individuals who service and use the cars will have to give up a lot.

And yet, according to William Clay Ford, current Executive Chairman of Ford Motor Company, “Customers don’t want to give anything up. So our job as manufacturers is to deliver these new technologies in a way that doesn’t require any trade-offs.” (Ford Looks to the Future, by Bill Vlasic, NYT, 10.20.9)

Drivers will likely have to give up the satisfaction of a powerful rumbling engine as well as the particular look and feel of a gas-powered card we have grown accustomed to. Cars have to become smaller. “Refueling” an electric car takes a bit more time and perhaps some advanced planning. Driving ranges are different. Oil companies, refineries, and gasoline retailers will have to come up with different markets for their products or different products to manufacture and sell. Manufacturers of engines and support services will have to find new customers and new applications as well – and it is very likely that those new markets will not be as large as the ones they have today. There’s quite a bit to give up.

But it is a mistake to believe that no one will give up anything. Mr. Ford, though long a vocal supporter of alternative energy and sustainable manufacturing, has been limited by the conventional wisdom of automobile manufacturers in the US. If you take as a given that customers won’t give up anything, then you have accepted that innovation is impossible. Even if electric cars can deliver precisely the same performance that a gasoline powered car, they will not come without some kind of trade-off. The moment drivers are irritated enough with the price, the inconvenience and the implications of the internal combustion engine, they will be willing to give up the particular thrills of gasoline – no matter how much they may love it now. The instant drivers are seduced by alternative thrills, they will also likely drop their old love as quickly as an old scratched record.

A new buyer of a Tesla electric roadster, a sports car enthusiast and no stranger to the excitement of high octane driving recently confessed to me the thrills of never visiting a gas station, of silent exits and entrances and of unbelievable acceleration that only an electric motor can deliver. The pleasures of gasoline powered cars may begin to appear quaint in comparison, and giving up the advantages may not be as difficult as Mr. Ford imagines.

Just as electric lighting required us to abandon gas lights in the 19^th century, electric transportation will require us to abandon gasoline cars and much of what is associated with it. Just like the gas lighting industry, those engines, the technology, fueling and the support of those engines will be re-focused on task specific applications such as construction vehicles or on-site generation of electricity.

When innovating, make sure you understand the trade-off as well as the benefit, and don’t be afraid to give up the old in return for something better.

If no one buys it - did it happen?

It is a common mistake to believe that innovation happens when someone comes up with a new idea. New ideas are a common occurrence – every day, people all over the world come up with great new ideas, new solutions and brilliant potential innovations that could possibly end poverty, build a successful company, or make peeling an orange much easier.

Experiments, though crucial to discovering what is possible and how something might be innovated, aren’t innovation. Prototypes and inventions aren’t innovation either, though they are an important step towards proving how innovation could happen.

Innovation doesn’t happen in the lab, the skunkworks or the strategy off-site. It doesn’t happen in the garage of a genius, nor does it happen when a government task force comes up with an innovation blueprint. Innovation might happen afterwards when the products of everyone’s labors are used by others, but there are quite a few good projects and initiatives that are easily forgotten in a few years.

What about all the patents? According to the U.S. Patent office, over 350,000 new patent applications are filed every year with less than 200,000 patents secured – but a patent is no guarantee of innovation. U.S. registered Patents in the last few years for the “Insect Death Ray”, the “Beerbrella”, (illustrated at left), the “Flush Toilet for Dogs”, and the “Electro Shock Game”, are interesting, but can they be described as innovations? They may be useful as entries in the Museum of Obscure Patents, but I question if they are innovation.

According to Richard Maulsby, director of the office of Public Affairs for the US Patent and Trademark Office, “There are around 1.5 million patents in effect and in force in this country, and of those, maybe 3,000 are commercially viable.” (Karen E. Klein, “Avoiding the Inventor's Lament,” Business Week, November 10, 2005)

If someone invents something that no one buys, did innovation occur?

A good analogue to that question, surprisingly, can be found in metaphysics. In the early eighteenth century, the philosopher and developer of “subjective idealism” George Berkeley introduced the idea of “To be is to be perceived”. His ideas are usually introduced with the question, “If a tree falls in the forest and no one hears it, did it really fall?”

Rephrased by Charles Riborg Mann and George Ransom Twiss in their 1910 book,Physics, the question became easier to answer, "When a tree falls in a lonely forest, and no animal is nearby to hear it, does it make a sound?” When addressed as a physics question versus a metaphysical question, the answer is straightforward: Sound, as explained by Mann and Twiss, is made up of three things:

1. A source of waves – such as a tree falling and creating vibrations as it hits the ground.
2. A medium for those waves to travel – such as the air
3. A receiver – such as an ear, which translates changes in air pressure into what animals perceive as “sound”

Without any animals around to hear the sound, there are only rippling changes in air pressure – no actual sound has been created.

Much like sound in a forest, innovation requires three things:

1. A source of innovation – a person or a team that is motivated enough to not only to come up with good ideas – but to develop them and influence others to follow.
2. A medium for their ideas to travel – such as the marketplace, writing, broadcasting, the Internet, classrooms, churches or any other gathering of people.
3. Receivers - People pay for the innovation, who will change their lives, collaborate with the source, give up something in order to innovate. The more people who receive it, the more innovative it becomes.

And just like the theoretical forest with no animals to listen – if no one adapts the new idea, process, concept or machine – innovation has not occurred. Put another way, “If someone doesn’t pay for it, then it didn’t happen.”

Innovation then, happens when others do it. When customers buy a new technology, when a community stops doing what they did before and begins using a new rule of behavior, when an old paradigm is abandoned for a new one – that’s when innovation happens.

Innovation occurs, not when a new idea or invention is discovered, but when everyone else innovates.

This all suggests three conclusions,

1. In order for innovation to happen, society must agree to that innovation – in effect, to subvert the formerly agreed to rules and participate in that innovation.
2. Innovators are persuaders as much as they are inventors – in effect, they must persuade others to innovate.
3. We all have to start innovating. Now.